The number in 1995 was 18. At the end of the
century they will number 6.
This is the stage when companies - fighting for financial
survival - strive to acquire as many users/listeners/viewers
as possible. The programming is shallowed to the lowest (and
widest) common denominator. Shallow programming dominates as
long as the bloodbath proceeds.
From Rags to Riches
Tough competition produces four processes:
1. A Major Drop in Hardware Prices
This happens in every medium but it doubly applies to a
computer-dependent medium, such as the Internet.
Computer technology seems to abide by "Moore's Law" which says
that the number of transistors which can be put on a chip
doubles itself every 18 months. As a result of this
miniaturization, computing power quadruples every 18 months
and an exponential series ensues. Organic-biological-DNA
computers, quantum computers, chaos computers - prompted by
vast profits and spawned by inventive genius will ensure the
longevity and continued applicability of Moore's Law.
The Internet is also subject to "Metcalf's Law".
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